Funnel · TIN Jarvis
2026-06-03 · generated 2026-06-03T14:08:29
MRR
$625
Stripe live (paying subs only)
Paying Customers
22
→ 0 true new paid in last 7d
Net New MRR (7d)
$0
first-paid-with-money invoices only
True CAC (since relaunch)
$957
⚠️ OVER ceiling $536 · $2,871 spend / 3 new paid since 5/3
Anomaly
🟡 GA4 reports 134 conversions in last 30d vs Stripe true new paid = 3 (ratio 44.7×). Gap is structural — GA4 'conversions'

Weekly Cohort Funnel

Current week + last 2 weeks. Cohort matures over the 7-day trial — current week marked PENDING until full cycle closes.

2026-05-18 → 2026-05-24
✅ COMPLETE
Spend: $541 (real) New MRR: $65 Days: 7/7
StageCountRateCost/event
New Visitors 172
Trial Attempts 5 2.9% $108
Trials Activated 4 80.0% $135
Paid Conversions 1 25.0% $541
CC Declines 5
✅ Nathan Alonzo — $65
❌ Pedro Gomez — $65 (3 attempts)
❌ Melissa Monschke — $65 (3 attempts)
❌ Chris Daniello — $65 (3 attempts)
❌ Audrey D — $65 (2 attempts)
❌ Benny — $65 (2 attempts)
2026-05-25 → 2026-05-31
🟡 PENDING
Spend: $744 (real) New MRR: $0 Days: 7/7
StageCountRateCost/event
New Visitors 196
Trial Attempts 12 6.1% $62
Trials Activated 5 41.7% $148
Paid Conversions 0 0.0%
CC Declines 5
❌ damian reichling — $65 (2 attempts)
❌ Don — $65 (2 attempts)
❌ Berny — $65 (2 attempts)
❌ Ron — $65 (1 attempts)
❌ Marco — $65 (1 attempts)
2026-06-01 → 2026-06-07
🟡 PENDING
Spend: $243 (real) New MRR: $0 Days: 3/7
StageCountRateCost/event
New Visitors 95
Trial Attempts 6 6.3% $40
Trials Activated 3 50.0% $81
Paid Conversions 0 0.0%
CC Declines 0

Stages: visitors → trial attempts (CC entered) → trials activated → paid conversions. Rates show next-stage conversion. Cost-per-event = (30-day trailing ads spend) / (count). All-time benchmark rates (Apr-Jul 2025 peak): visitor→attempt 7.93%, attempt→trial 56.27%, trial→paid 28.38%, visitor→paid 1.27%.

Monthly Trajectory

Month-over-month rollup since marketing relaunch (2026-05-03). CAC trajectory + trial→paid rate trend.

MonthVisitorsAttemptsTrialsPaidSpendCACTrial→Paid
May 2026 791 59 24 3 $2,627 $875 12.5%
Jun 2026 95 6 3 0 $243 0.0%

Cumulative averages (post-relaunch window)

Visitors: 886
Attempts: 65
Trials: 27
Paid: 3
Visitor→Attempt: 7.3%
Attempt→Trial: 41.5%
Trial→Paid: 11.1%
Visitor→Paid: 0.3%

Weekly Breakdown (since 5/3 relaunch)

Flat table view of every week since marketing relaunch — pair with the Funnel tab's cohort cards for at-a-glance scanning.

WeekVisitorsAttemptsTrialsPaidCC DeclinesSpendCACTrial→Paid
Apr 27–May 3 104 1 0 0 1 $71
May 4–May 10 235 19 8 0 0 $591 0.0%
May 11–May 17 201 22 7 2 4 $679 $339 28.6%
May 18–May 24 172 5 4 1 5 $541 $541 25.0%
🟡 May 25–May 31 196 12 5 0 5 $744 0.0%
🟡 Jun 1–Jun 7 95 6 3 0 0 $243 0.0%

Channel Performance

Acquisition channel breakdown from GA4 (last 30 days). Once attribution finishes baking + HubSpot fields populate, this expands to per-channel CAC + payback.

Where our paid customers came from (since 5/3 relaunch)

Source of truth: HubSpot per-contact attribution (utm_source + hs_analytics_source). REAL channel data, not GA4 event counts.

Paid DateCustomerChannelCampaignAmount
2026-05-13 Bernard Jr Hird S Paid Search 2026-q2_skiptrace_services $65
2026-05-17 Aryeh Levin Offline (no web attribution) INTEGRATION $65
2026-05-18 Nathan Alonzo Paid Search 2026-q2_intent_tools $65

All signups by channel (67 total since 5/3)

From HubSpot — every contact created since marketing relaunch, grouped by first-touch attribution source.

ChannelSignupsConverted to PaidSample customers
Direct 17 0 S Scott, Brandon, Trever Gray Gray +14
Paid Search · 2026-q2_intent_tools 12 1 shantavialemons, tia, Dewayne dewaynerobinson +9
UTM · google 11 0 E Marshall, NextHood Concierge, Melvin Singleton +8
Paid Search · 2026-q2_skiptrace_services 9 1 waqasbloch066, Audrey D, bobbysbailbonds +6
Organic Search 9 0 damian reichling, Chris Daniello, Boston +6
Offline · INTEGRATION 6 0 shantavialemons, tyoung0197, rene forbi +3
Offline · EMAIL_INTEGRATION 1 0 Bob B
Organic Search · Google referrer 1 0 Allison Pickens
UTM · chatgpt.com 1 0 Marco
GA4 raw sessions/users/conversions (last 30d) — known inflated by bot traffic + cross-domain dupes
Channel (GA4)Sessions (30d)UsersGA4 Conversions
Direct 582 269 8.0
Paid Search 506 441 41.0
Unassigned 102 68 70.0
Organic Search 64 52 2.0
Referral 50 14 5.0
Email 27 7 4.0
Cross-network 14 14 4.0
Organic Social 11 11 0.0
Organic Shopping 3 1 0.0
Paid Other 2 1 0.0

⚠️ Don't trust these numbers for decisions. GA4 reports raw events including bot traffic (G11 deferred, ~25% non-US sessions), cross-domain duplicates (theinvestnest.com + app.theinvestnest.com may double-count), and the "Conversions" column counts ALL conversion events (trial + signup + purchase), not just paid customers. The HubSpot attribution tables ABOVE are the real picture.

Recent Signups + Activation

User-level activation view (was your Notes column, now first-class). Last 30 days, sorted newest first.

Recent signups (last 30 days) with activity from request_logs + has-paid-real-money cross-check against Stripe. Names from auth.first_name/last_name, fall back to email prefix if missing. The qualitative Notes column ("stopped at cc screen", etc.) lands via inbox-process skill + manual annotations layer. PostHog adds session replay when Cluster 3 ships.

Signed UpNameEmailStatusEvents (30d)Last Activity
2026-06-02 emarshall emarshall@rfmdevco.com incomplete
2026-06-02 shantavialemons shantavialemons@gmail.com incomplete
2026-06-02 nexthoodconcierge nexthoodconcierge@gmail.com trial 5 2026-06-02
2026-06-02 shantavialemons shantavialemons@hotmail.com incomplete
2026-06-02 sellpropertytoustoday sellpropertytoustoday@gmail.com trial 1,074 2026-06-03
2026-06-02 brethren_issue373 brethren_issue373@simplelogin.com trial 5 2026-06-03
2026-05-29 melvin melvin@allstarzandassociates.com incomplete
2026-05-29 tia tia@bluebonnethouses.com incomplete
2026-05-28 hallr.crownstone hallr.crownstone@gmail.com trial
2026-05-28 bdiasaline bdiasaline@gmail.com trial 1 2026-05-28
2026-05-28 tyoung0197 tyoung0197@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-27 rogerio.cardoso rogerio.cardoso@nortonrealestate.com.br free 100 2026-05-27
2026-05-26 ozeelnour95 ozeelnour95@icloud.com incomplete
2026-05-26 oropezafranjavier oropezafranjavier@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-26 a71pickens a71pickens@gmail.com free 606 2026-05-26
2026-05-26 northsideproperties.co northsideproperties.co@gmail.com free 3 2026-05-26
2026-05-25 jilliansellsemeraldcoast jilliansellsemeraldcoast@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-25 ahmedelromy100 ahmedelromy100@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-24 one one@mediaral.com free 1,679 2026-05-24
2026-05-20 waqasbloch066 waqasbloch066@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-20 coastland_trodden107 coastland_trodden107@simplelogin.com free 102 2026-05-27
2026-05-19 esokurenko+user_test27 esokurenko+user_test27@waverleysoftware.com free 212 2026-05-19
2026-05-18 damianreichling06 damianreichling06@gmail.com free 156 2026-05-19
2026-05-16 rdewayne56 rdewayne56@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-16 propertysolutions61 propertysolutions61@yahoo.com free 27 2026-05-16
2026-05-16 highmarketpropertygroup highmarketpropertygroup@yahoo.com incomplete
2026-05-16 adee0983 adee0983@gmail.com free 2 2026-05-16
2026-05-16 matthewfowler234 matthewfowler234@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-15 pmasalesgroup pmasalesgroup@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-15 1140cjd 1140cjd@gmail.com free 299 2026-05-15
2026-05-15 jlg5423 jlg5423@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-12 melissa.monschke123 melissa.monschke123@icloud.com free 175 2026-05-12
2026-05-12 morrorobert195 morrorobert195@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-12 monschke.melissa monschke.melissa@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-12 monschke.melissa41 monschke.melissa41@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-12 monschkemelissa42 monschkemelissa42@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-12 bobbysbailbonds bobbysbailbonds@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-11 arsheahboston09 arsheahboston09@gmail.com free 51 2026-05-11
2026-05-11 jefff2267 jefff2267@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-11 jimmycork16 jimmycork16@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-11 nathan.alonzo nathan.alonzo@yahoo.com premium 💰 paid 673 2026-05-31
2026-05-11 talkingcollegebaseball talkingcollegebaseball@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-11 capably_postage407 capably_postage407@simplelogin.com free 87 2026-05-19
2026-05-11 sirofficial sirofficial@mail.ru incomplete
2026-05-11 txlnewlf txlnewlf@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-10 rene.forbi44 rene.forbi44@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-09 tanthonystewart tanthonystewart@yahoo.com incomplete
2026-05-09 wilmer.reynaldo.arredondo.zavala wilmer.reynaldo.arredondo.zavala@gmail.com incomplete
2026-05-09 paul paul@30aluxurylistings.com free 2 2026-05-09
2026-05-08 karenjhosff05 karenjhosff05@gmail.com incomplete

System Health

GHA cron status + integration credential health. Catches the "cron silently failed" pattern that surfaced 2026-05-25.

🚨 Reconciliation anomalies (cross-source drift detection)

SeverityCategoryDescription
warning attribution GA4 reports 134 conversions in last 30d vs Stripe true new paid = 3 (ratio 44.7×). Gap is structural — GA4 'conversions' includes trial + signup + premium events; only Stripe true new paid is real money. Google Ads bidding optimizes against GA4 — verify Premium-only Primary vs Trial Activation Secondary per attribution-architecture-canonical §7.

Anomalies surfaced by data_truth.py reconcile() — automatic cross-check between Stripe, Postgres, HubSpot. Empty = system in sync.

GHA cron health (last 50 runs grouped by workflow)

WorkflowLatest statusLast run (UTC)Next scheduled (UTC)
Architecture Review — monthly L1 inventory audit success 2026-06-01 17:05
Business State Audit — weekly L2 check success 2026-06-01 16:35 2026-06-05 11:00
Capability Synthesis — weekly L1 aggregator success 2026-05-31 14:00 2026-06-04 12:00
Capability Watch — daily 4-stage scan success 2026-06-02 14:35 2026-06-04 10:30
Customer Health Audit — weekly L2 per-customer check success 2026-06-01 17:04 2026-06-05 11:45
Daily Report — TIN business state pull success 2026-06-03 13:11 2026-06-04 09:00
DevOps Watchdog — daily loop self-audit success 2026-06-03 12:05 2026-06-04 13:00
Funnel Dashboard — daily regenerate + deploy to Cloudflare Pages in_progress 2026-06-03 14:05 2026-06-04 09:15
Goal Trajectory Audit — monthly L3 check success 2026-06-01 16:28
IaC Drift Detection (monthly) success ⚠️ 2/5 recent fails 2026-06-03 12:32
Marketing Channel Audit — weekly L2 check success 2026-06-01 16:47 2026-06-05 11:15
Memory Mirror — sync stores to git daily success 2026-06-02 14:08 2026-06-04 10:00
Proactive Architect — monthly L1 cross-layer synthesis success 2026-06-01 17:02
X Capability Watch — daily X.com watchlist scan success 2026-06-02 15:06 2026-06-04 11:15

Integration credentials (presence check — no values displayed per Standing Rule #6)

IntegrationStatus
Stripe ✅ Configured
ChartMogul ✅ Configured
HubSpot ✅ Configured
Intercom ✅ Configured
Anthropic ✅ Configured
Google Ads ✅ Configured
GitHub ✅ Configured
Postgres prod ✅ Configured
Cloudflare ✅ Configured
X / Twitter ✅ Configured